UPDATED FIGURES (Updated 04/24/04)
Figure 3 of the final paper have some mistakes.
the vector plots of temperature (b) and (d) are not from individual Temperature Spectrum but joint of Precipitation and Temperature.
the vector plot of streamflow was wrong since the locations of climate divisions were used instead of stream gage stations.
Updated Figure 3 with the corrections of b, d and e
Figure 1n shows the following:
Annual cycle reconstructed precipitation for 2 periods (1950-1975 and 1976-200).
One-year reconstructed precipitation plot of two selected climate divisions. Circles on the vector plots indicate the location of the two divisions.
One-year average monthly precipitation plot of the two divisions.
Figure 2n shows the same as Figure 1n but the frequency is 2 cycles/year.
Figure 3n shows the ENSO band of Precipitation and Streamflow from 1950-2000.
Significant shifts between 1976-2000 and 1950-1975
analyzed from joint precipitation and temperature mtmsvd reconstruction
Precipitation (all shifts), Precipitation (shifts less than 35 days, consist with Figure 6)
Temperature (all shifts), Temperature (shifts less than 35 days, consist with Figure 6)
analyzed from joint precipitation and streamflow mtmsvd reconstruction
Precipitation (all shifts), Precipitation (shifts less than 35 days, consist with Figure 6)
Streamflow (all shifts), Streamflow (shifts less than 35 days, consist with Figure 6)
Note: the results of significant shifts in precipitation from both analyses are very similar
NEW (posted 08/25/04)
Significant Shifts ( bootstrap by mixing all months)
Joint PT
Joint PF
Individual Variable P T P
F
P T F Plot X X X X X X X Quantile of diff days X X X X X diff. in days X X X X X code X X
Significant Shifts ( bootstrap year by year)
Joint PT
Joint PF
Individual Variable P T P
F
P T F Plot X X X X X X Quantile of diff days X X X X X diff. in days X X X X X code X X X X X
Note: Quantile of diff days: col 1 = # division, col 2 = latitude, col 3 = longitude,
col 4 = 0.5%, col 5 = 2.5%, col 6 =5.0%, col 7 = 12.5%, col 8 = 25%, col 9 = 50%,
col 10 = 75%, col 11 = 87.5%, col 12 = 95%, col 13 = 97.5%, col 14 = 99.5%
Figure 7 update: (same as the previous one but use year by year bootstrap)
Note: (a) precipitation. We use Confidence interval from independent P, joint P&T shift days and Median of median
(b) temperature. We use Confidence interval from independent T & joint P&T shift days and 99% significant
(c) streamflow. We use Confidence interval from independent F & joint P&F shift days and Median of median
Latest updated figures (09/20/04)
Figure 4 (full period) + Figure 6 new
Figure histogram of phase shift